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Humanitarian Outlook for the Horn of Africa and the Great Lakes Region, October - December 2015

This report has been developed collectively with humanitarian partners in the region to inform preparedness and advocacy efforts to mitigate and manage humanitarian risk in the Horn of Africa and Great Lakes region1. It presents a four-month trend analysis from June to September 2015 and a humanitarian outlook from October to December 2015. It is the second report in the series and updates the previous scenario report which was published in May 2015.

Trend Analysis: Since May, the main regional drivers of humanitarian need continued to be protracted conflict, and economic and climatic shocks, with the initial impact of the El Niño weather system starting to be felt. During the reporting period, the number of refugees increased by 188,000 people, almost exclusively from South Sudan, Burundi and Yemen, representing a 7 per cent increase. However, refugee flows have slowed compared with the previous reporting period linked to the signing of the South Sudan peace agreement and the installation of President Nkurunziza in Burundi. There was an increase in the number of food insecure people by 6.7 million, from 18.5 million to 25.3 million people, as the impact of El Niño is increasing food insecurity in Ethiopia in particular.

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Original Publication Date: 
10 Окт 2015
Document type: 
Humanitarian Access
Internally Displaced People (IDPs)