Southern Africa: Impact of El Niño
More than 27.4 million people across Southern Africa are currently food insecure, and this excludes Angola (which has not published official figures) and Madagascar (where 1.9 million people are classified as food insecure, of which 460,000 people are severely so). Concerns are mounting that the current El Niño will mean that the region will next year face another poor harvest, possibly a disastrous one. For Southern Africa, El Niño usually means less rain, and this year drought is expected particularly during the critical agricultural period of October to December. This forecast is bolstered by the Southern African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF), which is also predicting below-normal rainfall.