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Humanitarian Bulletin 01 October 2012

Seasonal Forecast

According to the latest forecast issued by the National Meteorological Agency (NMA), a weak El Niño and
above-average sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean are expected to prevail from October 2012
to January 2013. Based on this forecast, NMA expects normal to above-normal rainfall and distribution in
most parts of the country in the coming bega season (October 2012-January 2013). Between November
and January, most parts of the country should see normal to above-normal rainfall distribution, particularly
in southern and south-eastern areas. Unseasonable rains are likely to occur, resulting in a generally wet
bega season. The normal to above-normal rainfall across southern and south-eastern parts of the country
should have a positive impact on availability of pasture and drinking water in pastoralist and agropastoralist
areas. However, unseasonable occasional rains in areas that are normally dry during this
period (belg-marginal cropping areas of eastern Amhara and Tigray, central and eastern Oromia and
northern Somali zones) could have limited negative impacts on the harvest and post-harvest activities. In
the south-eastern and western parts of the country, un-seasonable rains received in November and
December could also affect harvest and post-harvest activities. For more information, contact:

Relief Food Update

As of September 20, dispatch of the fifth round of relief food aid was 98 per cent complete, while dispatch
of the sixth round (targeting 3.8 million people) was 20 percent complete (89 per cent complete in
SNNPR, 69 per cent in Amhara, and 11 per cent in Oromia and Somali region). With approximately 56
per cent of requirements identified in the July-August revised Humanitarian Requirements Document
(HRD) contributed, WFP can cover the seventh round, but not more with currently available resources.
For more information, contact

Operation(s)/Espace(s) web: 
Bureau de la coordination des affaires humanitaires des Nations Unies
Date de publication initiale: 
01 oct 2012
Type de document: 
Bulletin Humanitaire
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