Humanitarianresponse Logo

Food Security Early Warning System Agromet Update 2016/2017 Agricultural Season Issue 01 Month: September

Highlights:

  • SARCOF is predicting normal to above normal rainfall in the southern parts of the region, while normal to below normal rainfall is expected in the northern areas.
  • The latest model forecasts have reduced La Niña expectations, and suggest near-equal chances for neutral ENSO and weak La Niña conditions through end of 2016.
  • International temperature forecasts suggest normal temperatures are likely in the southern half of the region, and above normal temperature in northern SADC.
  • Although existing regional water deficits are unlikely to be eradicated this season, there is potential for a good agricultural season if farmers have timely access to inputs, climate-smart agriculture is practised, and appropriate support for drought affected farmers is provided.
  • Continual seasonal monitoring, in consultation with national meteorological agencies is required. Special attention is needed for drought affected areas that have a forecast for normal to below normal rainfall.
Organization(s): 
Southern African Development Community
Original Publication Date: 
26 Sep 2016
Document type: 
Situation Report
Theme(s): 
Climate
Environment
Information Management
Preparedness