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Note on developing El Niño conditions end 2018 - beginning 2019

El Niño outlook

The probability of El Niño is about 50-55% for October-November, and increases to 65-70% during the end of 2018 and beginning of 2019 . The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) recently confirmed that there is a 70 percent chance of an El Niño developing by the fourth quarter of 2018 through early 2019.

Webspace(s): 
Organization(s): 
United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Original Publication Date: 
10 Oct 2018
Document type: 
Note